tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23400750.post7100229683261908336..comments2023-11-03T11:32:01.540+00:00Comments on Thought Experiments : The Blog: RiskBryan Appleyardhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08276787058430388582noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23400750.post-25254490103462966292008-12-08T09:09:00.000+00:002008-12-08T09:09:00.000+00:00"Pointshout about" sounds good though, Frank, very..."Pointshout about" sounds good though, Frank, very evocative. It's either an animated warning or a 1950s dance craze.Brithttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00390560583798960760noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23400750.post-66969899531304858322008-12-08T02:45:00.000+00:002008-12-08T02:45:00.000+00:00I meant "point this out."I meant "point this out."Frank Wilsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18410473158808750903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23400750.post-10004765049720514762008-12-07T15:02:00.000+00:002008-12-07T15:02:00.000+00:00But why, if this was widely known about VaR, at le...But why, if this was widely known about VaR, at least outside the financial community, did no one pointshout about during the past 20 years? Or did someone (other than Nassim, implicitly, in <I>The Black Swan</I> lasy year)?Frank Wilsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18410473158808750903noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23400750.post-42577539787276796532008-12-06T18:54:00.000+00:002008-12-06T18:54:00.000+00:00"and its impact will be worse than you expect"Most..."and its impact will be worse than you expect"<BR/><BR/>Most experts say this will be like the 80s crash and nowhere near like the 30s. Yet I just watched a video of that Black Swan guy who says it will be much worse than the 30s crash. Personally, from a purely gut feeling, I think we're entering terrifying new territory.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23400750.post-45753474298017373322008-12-06T12:13:00.000+00:002008-12-06T12:13:00.000+00:00It's 'near rationality' which is to blame...It's '<A HREF="http://mccabism.blogspot.com/2008/10/near-rationality-and-financial-collapse.html" REL="nofollow">near rationality</A>' which is to blame...Gordon McCabehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09151162643523937086noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23400750.post-16156887264256445792008-12-06T12:08:00.000+00:002008-12-06T12:08:00.000+00:00Whats a bell curve?Whats a bell curve?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23400750.post-10027720910484871062008-12-06T09:57:00.000+00:002008-12-06T09:57:00.000+00:00Who the Gods wish to destroy, first they make mad,...Who the Gods wish to destroy, first they make mad, I am afraid the human need for certainty is too strong.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com